Macaé Esporte vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAC
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CMA
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
RES
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
OLA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 0
FRI
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
2 - 2
OLA
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |