Macaé Esporte vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
BON
2 - 3
MAC
25%
26%
48%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
VIT
20%
27%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RES
0 - 0
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAC
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
PAR
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 3
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 4
BOT
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
MOG
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |