Macaé Esporte vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 0
CRB
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 2
MAC
36%
25%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 1
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
FOR
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
VOL
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
5 - 2
FRI
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FRI
3 - 1
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
FRI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
FRI
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |