Macaé Esporte vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
40%
24%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
RPO
2 - 1
FLA
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
BON
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
SCI
40%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |