Macaé Esporte vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 4
AFC
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLA
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 2
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BAN
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |