Macaé Esporte vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
RES
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
DUQ
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |