Macaé Esporte vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
MAC
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
MAC
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CAX
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
CAX
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |