Macaé Esporte vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |