Macaé Esporte vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
QUI
69%
18%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
4 - 2
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
VOL
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
PAY
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
0 - 4
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
DUQ
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |