Macaé Esporte vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
RES
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
BON
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
63%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |