Maardu FC vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NOM
1 - 2
MAA
21%
22%
58%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
MAA
4 - 0
KEI
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TKA
0 - 4
MAA
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
MAA
42%
24%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
MAA
4 - 0
TFS
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
KEI
0 - 1
WEL
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 2
RAK
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 0
FLO
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FCE
2 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
TKA
1 - 1
WEL
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |