Maardu FC vs NPM Silmet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+325%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAA
4 - 0
TAU
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 4
MAA
12%
18%
71%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
THJ
0 - 2
MAA
2%
4%
94%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 8
MAA
3%
8%
89%
|
70 | 17 | 53 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
RAK
1 - 1
MAA
10%
16%
74%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
NPM Silmet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FHT
3 - 1
NPM
87%
8%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAZ
4 - 3
NPM
77%
13%
9%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TAU
3 - 1
NPM
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 5
NPM
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NPM
0 - 2
RAK
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | -2 |