Maardu FC vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 4
MAA
8%
14%
78%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAA
5 - 1
JKN
87%
9%
4%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NOU
1 - 3
MAA
22%
21%
56%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
MAA
2 - 3
TJK
91%
7%
2%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
0 - 3
MAA
7%
13%
80%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TJK
1 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAT
5 - 0
PAI
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
JKN
0 - 1
FAT
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FAT
3 - 1
KUR
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NOU
3 - 0
FAT
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |