Maardu FC vs Tartu Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
MAA
3%
10%
87%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAA
12 - 0
FCA
93%
5%
2%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 4
MAA
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIN
0 - 4
MAA
11%
16%
74%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FHT
1 - 5
MAA
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 6
TKL
19%
18%
64%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FHT
1 - 4
TKL
60%
18%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TKL
2 - 6
TIN
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TKL
2 - 4
NPM
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
4 - 0
TKL
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -3 |