Maardu Aliens vs Põlva Lootos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
66.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu Aliens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OTA
5 - 4
MAA
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
MAA
0 - 8
TAZ
10%
13%
77%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
MAA
2 - 1
KAL
49%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAA
2 - 3
ESV
29%
21%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MAK
3 - 3
MAA
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Põlva Lootos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
RUC
3 - 0
POL
7%
11%
82%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
KUR
22 - 0
POL
89%
8%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
KAD
4 - 1
POL
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
KIV
7 - 1
POL
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
JKL
2 - 5
POL
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |