Maardu Aliens vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
81.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maardu Aliens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MAA
0 - 8
MAA
3%
6%
92%
|
15 | 68 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
MAA
0 - 3
FCT
7%
12%
81%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
MAA
1 - 3
KEI
28%
19%
53%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MAA
3 - 1
POL
17%
16%
67%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OTA
5 - 4
MAA
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KUR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 0
TAM
51%
23%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
KUR
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
29%
26%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |