Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
13º
10º
59
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mačva Šabac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAV
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
1 - 3
LOZ
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
2 - 1
VRS
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
MAV
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAV
1 - 0
MET
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RSM
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
INI
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RNB
0 - 2
NOV
9%
21%
70%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLO
80%
15%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |