Ma Pau vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 3
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
PUM
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |