Ma Pau vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 1
ANN
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 2
JOE
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 0
PAU
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 0
DEF
42%
25%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
UPT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
TBU
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 2
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ANN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |