Ma Pau vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
DEF
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 3
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
JOE
3 - 1
SYS
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 11 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
JOE
5 - 0
WBC
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
JOE
8 - 2
DEV
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 6
JOE
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
3 - 4
JOE
17%
20%
64%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |