Ma Pau vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
PAU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
JOE
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
POL
0 - 7
JOE
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 0
SEN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |