Ma Pau vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 0
STA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
PAU
0 - 0
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
PAU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
DEF
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
POL
0 - 3
DEF
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
TBU
0 - 3
DEF
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |