Ma Pau vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 3
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
DEF
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |