Ma Pau vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 1
UPT
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TBU
1 - 2
PAU
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
TBU
1 - 2
PAU
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 3
DEF
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 1
SEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
5 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |