Lystrup vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
88.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.4%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.9%
0-5
6.9%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.2%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.9%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lystrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
4 - 1
NOR
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIN
2 - 0
LYS
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LYS
5 - 1
HOL
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AAL
1 - 2
LYS
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 5
LYS
16%
19%
66%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
VFF
1 - 0
AAB
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AAB
4 - 1
BIF
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCK
4 - 2
AAB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
AAB
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AAB
0 - 2
RAN
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |