Lyss vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
LYS
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LYS
0 - 1
COL
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ECH
1 - 2
LYS
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LYS
1 - 4
STA
46%
22%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
LYS
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 1
POR
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOC
3 - 0
GRU
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
GRU
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 2
THI
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
GRU
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |