Lyra vs Esperanza Pelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 0
LYR
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LYR
2 - 2
LEO
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BIL
0 - 0
LYR
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LYR
1 - 3
ZWA
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TUR
3 - 2
LYR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 2
HAD
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 3
NIL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 2
SPO
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |