Lyon-Duchère vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
5º
2º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LYO
4 - 1
SEY
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 1
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LYO
2 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
LYO
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 2
HAL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 1
LIM
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 3
THO
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 0
THO
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
THO
1 - 3
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |