Lyon-Duchère vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
2º
38
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 3
LYO
8%
17%
76%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
CDE
85%
11%
5%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 1
SAI
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 1
ESM
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 2
OLY
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
ESM
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
HAL
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +4 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 2
FEU
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |