Lynx vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
5º
3º
32
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lynx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 2
LYN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
LYN
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LYN
1 - 4
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
CEU
2 - 1
LYN
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
GLA
0 - 2
LYN
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LRI
1 - 0
JOS
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
2 - 0
CEU
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
1 - 3
MAG
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 2
JOS
11%
19%
70%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
COL
1 - 4
JOS
19%
22%
60%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | -1 |