Luziânia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BSE
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 1
LUZ
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BDF
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
56%
22%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |