Luzi 2008 vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
12º
11º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KOR
5 - 1
LUZ
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
4 - 0
LUS
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 0
LUZ
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BUR
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BES
4 - 1
LUZ
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
APO
4 - 1
BYL
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 0
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
VOR
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
TOM
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |