Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
7º
49
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 3
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
FCL
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 0
ZUR
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 3
ZUR
6%
13%
81%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |