Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
44
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 5
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
STU
0 - 3
FCL
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
FCL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCL
40%
24%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 2
ZUR
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 3
ZUR
18%
21%
60%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
S04
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LEV
4 - 1
ZUR
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |