Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 3
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 4
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 5
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |