Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
0 - 4
FCL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
32%
24%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
3 - 2
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 1
ZUR
30%
24%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
17%
21%
63%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |