Luzern vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
11º
4º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
FCL
33%
24%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STG
2 - 3
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
YVE
2 - 0
LUG
27%
23%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
YVE
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
YVE
1 - 0
STG
21%
22%
57%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 1
YVE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 2
YVE
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |