Luzern vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
3 - 5
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 1
WOH
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
FCL
6 - 0
BAU
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SIO
3 - 1
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
FKD
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 0
BUL
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |