Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
0 - 2
FCL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 2
SER
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FCV
3 - 0
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
STG
3 - 2
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
YOB
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
THU
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
KRI
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |