Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
KLA
0 - 1
FCL
39%
23%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 0
KLA
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
SPA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
17%
21%
63%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
THU
2 - 2
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 3
THU
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |