Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
STG
1 - 2
FCL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 3
YOB
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCL
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
THU
0 - 0
STG
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
YOB
5 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
THU
1 - 2
SIO
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NEX
3 - 2
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |