Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 3
FCL
75%
15%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 3
SIO
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 3
FCL
20%
21%
59%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
THU
1 - 4
YOB
20%
22%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 3
THU
3%
9%
88%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |