Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCL
13%
18%
69%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
STG
0 - 2
FCL
32%
25%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 2
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
THU
5 - 2
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STA
1 - 2
THU
2%
7%
91%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
YOB
0 - 4
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
THU
0 - 3
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |