Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
4 - 1
YOB
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAU
4 - 4
FCL
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 2
KRI
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
STU
3 - 0
FCL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
SGD
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
55%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GCZ
0 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
THU
5 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
FCK
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
THU
0 - 0
LEM
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |