Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 2
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
21%
23%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
STG
2 - 3
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCV
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
STG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GCZ
1 - 2
THU
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FCW
1 - 2
THU
7%
16%
76%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
ZUR
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |