Luzern vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 5
FCL
11%
17%
73%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 1
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
THU
0 - 0
YOB
26%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
5 - 0
THU
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
THU
14%
20%
67%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | +1 |