Luzern vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
31
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
FCL
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 0
SIO
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 4
STG
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |