Luzern vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
11º
4º
55
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
STU
12%
19%
69%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 2
FCL
6%
13%
81%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
SCH
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
ALT
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
SER
15%
21%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
KVC
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 2
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |