Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis

Luzern FC Lugano
80 ELO 81
3.8% Tilt 7.8%
293º General ELO ranking 313º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Luzern
24.6%
Draw
39.2%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Luzern
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-7%
-9%
FC Lugano

Points and table prediction

Luzern
Their league position
FC Lugano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
65
65
100%
FC Lugano
59
59
100%
Servette
57
57
100%
Zurich
49
49
0%
Winterthur
49
49
0%
St. Gallen
48
48
100%
Luzern
44
44
100%
Lausanne Sports
40
40
0%
Basel
40
40
0%
Yverdon
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Grasshopper
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luzern
FC Lugano
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Luzern
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 1
Luzern
FCL
33%
25%
42%
79 74 5 0
20 Aug. 2023
WSG
FC Winkeln St Gallen
0 - 6
Luzern
FCL
3%
9%
88%
80 19 61 -1
17 Aug. 2023
FCL
Luzern
2 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
54%
23%
23%
80 76 4 0
13 Aug. 2023
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
28%
24%
48%
80 85 5 0
10 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
41%
25%
35%
80 76 4 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
23%
23%
54%
82 87 5 0
24 Aug. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
59%
21%
20%
82 87 5 0
19 Aug. 2023
GUN
Gunzwil
0 - 7
FC Lugano
LUG
4%
10%
86%
82 20 62 0
13 Aug. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
6 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
62%
22%
16%
82 69 13 0
05 Aug. 2023
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
42%
24%
34%
83 81 2 -1