Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
STG
3 - 2
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 10
LUG
2%
7%
91%
|
78 | 10 | 68 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
LAU
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 2
LUG
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |